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Is BrExit really in danger? Is there a conspiracy to force UK to stay in the EU? What does article 49 of the TEU, Treaty on the European Union, has to do with the BrExit?

BrExit is in danger – Recently people have been talking about the danger the BrExit will face if the government doesn’t invoke an agreement called “Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty” before the 31st of March, 2017. Some people believe that on April 1st, 2017, new laws of the EU will require a QMV, Qualified Majority Voting, for the UK to exit.

BrExit is in DangerBrExit is in Danger – Why people panicked?
  • Article 49 states that “The applicant State shall address its application to the Council, which shall act unanimously after consulting the Commission and after receiving the consent of the European Parliament, which shall act by a majority of its component members.” In other words, the withdrawal of a member state from the EU would require a QMV based on the new item in the Treaty of Lisbon. If this happens, the BrExit is in danger because this will require 14 European countries to vote for the BrExit which is unlikely to occur.
  • The fact that David Cameron resigns but delays the triggering Article 50.
  • Applying Article 50 and or repealing the European Communities Act 1972 is no longer enough without a QMV.
  • “No need for haste” is what Boris Johnson said in his last press conference.
  • Why was Nigel Farage not involved in the process of the BrExit? Some people wonder.
  • Others believe that the Parliament has no formal say over whether or when Article 50 is invoked.
BrExit is in DangerBrExit is in Danger – The other perspective
  • BrExit is in Danger? First of all, Article 49 of the Treaty of Lisbon is intended for the entrance not the exit of European countries from the EU. The first paragraph says that “Any European State which respects the values referred to in Article 2 and is committed to promoting them may apply to become a member of the Union.”
  • The QMV is not mentioned anywhere in Article 49 but as a matter of fact; it is clearly mentioned in Article 50 concerning the kind of agreement the EU will have to the Member State: “That agreement shall be negotiated in accordance with Article 218(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. It shall be concluded on behalf of the Union by the Council, acting by a qualified majority, after obtaining the consent of the European Parliament.”

Therefore, the withdrawal process does not depend on QMV. A QMV is only required on the eventual arrangements of the treaty between the UK and the rest of the EU remaining States.

BrExit is in DangerBrExit is in Danger – What should be done?

As Aristotle once said; either way you should live with ethics. If there was no hereafter, you lost nothing by living a life of virtue. But if there was a hereafter and you don’t live a moral life, you will be in big trouble.

I personally believe this saying applies to our critical situation. Here is how;

We should all talk about this issue; spread the word, post it on social media and warn people about the danger the BrExit might face if this QMV turns out to be required after the 31st of March, 2017.

BrExit is in Danger – If this turns out not to be true and just another rumor, the UK loses nothing by invoking Article 50 soon. But if it turns out to be true and we do nothing, we will all be in a big trouble.

We will keep an eye for you on this issue and more, stay tuned.

Your feedback and participation are highly appreciated.

Australia-Unwrapped Team

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